NHL · resolved market
SHL: Linkoeping vs. Djurgaarden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa33150c71530e6001a5c5b49dc24975ef5d0adbbf15240d3536df4093f85b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linkoepingof Linkoeping, Djurgaarden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Djurgaarden | 44c | 66.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Djurgaarden | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Linkoeping | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Linkoeping | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Linkoeping | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Linkoeping | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Linkoeping | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Linkoeping | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Linkoeping | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Linkoeping | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Linkoeping | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Linkoeping | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Linkoeping | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Linkoeping | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.