Cricket · resolved market
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Botswana vs Malawi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b005cdddadf569e6441bf014aa2260af096805ca597842c3bfec39ac85f90bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Botswanaof Botswana, Malawi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Malawi | 47c | 888.67$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Botswana | 79c | 316.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Malawi | 23c | 306.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Botswana | 56c | 288.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Botswana | 78c | 256.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…85b1backed Botswana | 77c | 249.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Botswana | 50c | 224.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Botswana | 56c | 179.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Botswana | 50c | 145.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Botswana | 53c | 127.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Malawi | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Botswana | 77c | 80.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Malawi | 47c | 41.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Botswana | 79c | 34.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Botswana | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Botswana | 71c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…481dbacked Botswana | 56c | 20.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.