Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5c195ca6cda9b7e47a96ae429ce4504a2cf7eeac809d6bbb137e74d1b3a596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş Esportsof Beşiktaş Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb77a…224ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…1c13backed Beşiktaş Esports | 33c | 1,308$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…09ebbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 33c | 1,273$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…a353backed Beşiktaş Esports | 33c | 1,236$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…206fbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 1,000$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…5d47backed Misa Esports | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…9c90backed Misa Esports | 67c | 693$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…ade1backed Misa Esports | 67c | 666$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…0721backed Misa Esports | 67c | 629$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…6b00backed Misa Esports | 67c | 615$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…7c2abacked Misa Esports | 67c | 607$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…8ffabacked Misa Esports | 67c | 607$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 289.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 50c | 251.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Misa Esports | 36c | 219.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…e59dbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 214.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…20a1backed Misa Esports | 72c | 155.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Misa Esports | 39c | 144.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 28c | 128.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Beşiktaş Esports | 75c | 124.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5002…a28fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 72c | 90.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 85.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…59c6backed Misa Esports | 29c | 77.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 66.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Misa Esports | 23c | 64.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Misa Esports | 69c | 54.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Misa Esports | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Beşiktaş Esports | 65c | 31.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Misa Esports | 67c | 24.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.