Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8f17cfce6aaa50e8b8878a9850aff40c181cd06ed89955e6489d73769bc7e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rajasthan Royalsof Rajasthan Royals, Royal Challengers Bangalore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe53e…f3e1backed Rajasthan Royals | 57c | 349.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 44c | 278.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 29c | 67.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 54c | 63.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…2a77backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 61.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 58.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…6d4fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 53.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…33cfbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 65c | 51.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…bca2backed Rajasthan Royals | 49c | 50.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…2f20backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 42.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…5b50backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 63c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c82…76eabacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f0a5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 34c | 38.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 55c | 36.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…954bbacked Rajasthan Royals | 54c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…e1acbacked Rajasthan Royals | 43c | 32.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Rajasthan Royals | 66c | 31.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…3ba5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 45c | 24.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…abbbbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9dc7backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 55c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…264dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers BangaloreRajasthan Royals won
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.