Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont Catamounts vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c13c11a2397710d20415ce1b2210b90315809ef15e8d4017e6ba3f65035b0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof Vermont Catamounts, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 402.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 246.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Vermont Catamounts | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Vermont Catamounts | 38c | 193$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vermont Catamounts | 40c | 126.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Vermont Catamounts | 41c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers | 61c | 86.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oregon State Beavers | 58c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Vermont Catamounts | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 61c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.