CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #15 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1ce7d59c41ddb5af167a62bcf8fe89a6db7f3bb837290ca294638f1149d47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nexusof Omega, Nexus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68fc…ad11backed Omega | 44c | 826$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed Omega | 44c | 731$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Nexus | 60c | 556.53$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Nexus | 56c | 465$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Nexus | 56c | 366$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Nexus | 56c | 365$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…4b45backed Nexus | 56c | 361$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…12cbbacked Omega | 40c | 290.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Omega | 40c | 285.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Omega | 23c | 261.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Nexus | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Omega | 14c | 213.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Omega | 12c | 209.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Omega | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 16c | 146.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Omega | 38c | 98.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Nexus | 62c | 60.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Omega | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…9168backed Nexus | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…56d3backed Nexus | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #15 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Nexus - Map 1 WinnerNexus won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Nexus - Map 2 WinnerNexus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.