Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c28874af6349a7e58f30909eecac5197bfdaa033b03ad98510853958ee41558

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $260,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $255,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,674 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1025…7e11backed Yes	0c	144,224$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.46	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No	54c	14,710$7,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,772.92	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2649…9d3cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,999.98	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed No	19c	5,837$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,727.57	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	47c	5,416$2,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,870.65	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Yes	53c	5,137$2,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,721.14	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	38c	4,200$1,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.42	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	46c	3,950$1,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.71	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes	46c	3,599$1,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,655.4	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	51c	2,827$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.44	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…c413backed Yes	77c	2,798$2,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…d338backed Yes	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	35c	2,050$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf5…e611backed Yes	54c	2,027$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.49	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	46c	1,846$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.51	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	55c	1,842$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.27	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	28c	1,727$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.05	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x690f…75d2backed Yes	47c	1,590$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	20c	1,396$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.14	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	48c	1,373$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.85	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	46c	1,318$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.52	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	46c	1,300$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Yes	27c	1,273$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.87	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	37c	1,224$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.61	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes	52c	1,162$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.38	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	18c	1,003$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.87	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a28…929fbacked Yes	45c	999.99$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	74c	999.97$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.98	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes	55c	999.95$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.97	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	45c	999.45$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.11	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	53c	877.46$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.91	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	52c	867.31$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	49c	858.75$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.22	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x770e…a3f2backed Yes	69c	835.28$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.98	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	51c	810.43$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.58	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	50c	800.01$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes	80c	800$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c08…0309backed Yes	57c	750.86$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	18c	663.72$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.25	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed No	20c	659.59$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.08	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes	77c	651.79$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	20c	627.1$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.13	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed No	51c	625$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.85	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d45…71a1backed Yes	80c	614$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.2	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f81…fc4abacked Yes	80c	610$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9df…421ebacked No	21c	610$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	45c	608.67$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.19	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	58c	600$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	45c	581$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.55	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	50c	561.85$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.09	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…f465backed No	55c	560.87$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.32	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	38c	535.31$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.23	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	46c	532$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.96	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes	80c	500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	31c	485.14$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.84	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe4…5187backed Yes	47c	478.72$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	30c	476.25$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.83	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	54c	470.28$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.45	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No	44c	416.18$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.18	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked Yes	70c	402.73$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…87a0backed Yes	80c	399.99$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	62cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Yes	79c	399.99$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.99	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	53c	390.37$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.64	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	50c	349.92$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.21	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd466…8f57backed Yes	80c	333$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.4	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	45c	317.5$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.17	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	19c	315.85$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.87	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…881fbacked Yes	54c	307.25$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.91	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+172.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2836…c511backed Yes	65c	306.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.36per pick	51cpaid	+167.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No	42c	304.5$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.61	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.9	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+6.6wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	79c	299.82$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.27	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	71c	286.55$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.51	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked No	48c	280$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.6	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes	57c	279.92$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.56	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Yes	80c	273.35$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.68	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked No	20c	267$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.6	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	78c	264.58$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.32	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	49c	254.99$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.33	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf72…1535backed No	21c	252.38$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.38	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	80c	250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed Yes	80c	250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	80c	248$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.11	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d40…bacbbacked Yes	53c	241.45$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed Yes	49c	233.24$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5cd…9aa5backed Yes	79c	230$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.8	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c89…ed9abacked Yes	54c	230$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.2	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes	52c	222.31$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.37	128	42.2%54 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a883backed Yes	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed No	46c	217.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.06	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes	51c	216.76$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	45c	214$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.02	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Yes	77c	213.49$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	138	60.9%84 W · 54 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab6a…e1babacked Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.5	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event