Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley vs. Valparaiso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c99745bf8b6bbd5035a01a7ba3c7e160757326556a6ee6def8f51d9840e7f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradleyof Bradley, Valparaiso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d3…bdf5backed Valparaiso | 35c | 291$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7b74backed Valparaiso | 35c | 248$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda2…45abbacked Bradley | 65c | 174$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c12fbacked Bradley | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b9dbbacked Bradley | 65c | 113$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…99a9backed Bradley | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf9…c581backed Valparaiso | 35c | 109$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…cee0backed Valparaiso | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…cff6backed Valparaiso | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…560cbacked Bradley | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…8c3cbacked Bradley | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…e648backed Bradley | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…61b8backed Bradley | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…464bbacked Bradley | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…bbe9backed Valparaiso | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed Valparaiso | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…9f72backed Valparaiso | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…75a7backed Valparaiso | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…0e36backed Valparaiso | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…0e32backed Bradley | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca7…3444backed Valparaiso | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…65f7backed Valparaiso | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…7e8abacked Bradley | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…85b1backed Bradley | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…89d5backed Bradley | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…1c31backed Bradley | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Bradley | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…b745backed Bradley | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…1db8backed Bradley | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…6d03backed Bradley | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…e582backed Bradley | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…8694backed Bradley | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.