Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cff6e508a7d2207ab4671a9b5c39e312e6e646efd96db84417f9894198ef12f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 44c | 22,080$9,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,715.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 17,046$10,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 11,581$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 60c | 5,516$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.91 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 2,401$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 1,154$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.89 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 931.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 854.33$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.09 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 781.49$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 616$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 585.39$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 18c | 488.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Yes | 54c | 431.75$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 18c | 420$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 391$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 29c | 382.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 369.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 56c | 333.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed No | 37c | 301$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 181.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 59c | 161.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 55c | 115.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 41.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 55c | 40.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…aeddbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…cb07backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…862ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…e88fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 56c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.