Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4ab98ca2d226f5f8e997a8b898300ff81efb843f5208cc479903ef9583ca20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 678.38$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 390.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 41c | 272.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 254.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 244.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 66c | 204.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 44c | 113.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 34c | 102.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 65c | 85.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 77c | 82.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 67c | 44.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 33c | 36.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 32.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 30.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 51c | 26.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.