Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da7b20c2b3c9ef70fc0cf05bc5b0db652e3f6be03656530657853637030fcff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Prizmic, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Prizmic | 51c | 563.16$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Prizmic | 54c | 463.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Fucsovics | 49c | 436.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Fucsovics | 49c | 373.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fucsovics | 46c | 304.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Prizmic | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Prizmic | 51c | 182.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Prizmic | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fucsovics | 48c | 87.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…8aa7backed Fucsovics | 50c | 78.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Prizmic | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Fucsovics | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Prizmic | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Fucsovics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…c542backed Prizmic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fucsovics | 49c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marton Fucsovics vs Dino PrizmicDino Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.