CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df43fdea82b9d5548bc8840f7aa365fb3a179be84b7e11060dfbec9aba4b487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Vexa, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy | 51c | 504$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.04 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Vexa | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Vexa | 41c | 489.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 60c | 416.83$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Vexa | 41c | 283.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN Academy | 67c | 182.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy | 60c | 168.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked paiN Academy | 63c | 157.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vexa | 33c | 157.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexa | 34c | 141.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vexa | 38c | 119.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Vexa | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Academy | 59c | 94.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 72c | 93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexa | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked paiN Academy | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed paiN Academy | 67c | 79.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed paiN Academy | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Vexa | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerVexa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.