Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Minnesota vs. Nebraska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e24d2e30ad06771203b77a7be84c944def04e9e9db8c1873c2c082ba613b196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesotaof Minnesota, Nebraska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nebraska | 43c | 1,951$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.85 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Minnesota | 57c | 1,880$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…bbd0backed Minnesota | 23c | 166$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…89d7backed Nebraska | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…cce0backed Nebraska | 77c | 81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Minnesota | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…9b27backed Minnesota | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…c4a2backed Minnesota | 25c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…8dd9backed Nebraska | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Nebraska | 56c | 29.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…8e5abacked Nebraska | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…deb8backed Nebraska | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…d57dbacked Nebraska | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.