NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e421964cd5adeab89f9a6ba4c30bbbdc829af80e61101b0b4cbb57b9bfcb333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 45c | 2,118$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.19 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Lightning | 78c | 1,464$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lightning | 59c | 1,417$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kraken | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.65 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kraken | 20c | 650.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Lightning | 78c | 512$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lightning | 56c | 506.7$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Kraken | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Lightning | 75c | 452.4$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Kraken | 21c | 380$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…eb90backed Kraken | 46c | 362.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…16ccbacked Lightning | 55c | 362.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 55c | 306.92$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Lightning | 61c | 277.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Lightning | 55c | 250.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kraken | 45c | 199.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kraken | 46c | 187.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Lightning | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 55c | 159.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Lightning | 52c | 141.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Kraken | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Lightning | 56c | 103.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kraken | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kraken | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Kraken | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8fbcbacked Lightning | 55c | 85.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Kraken | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 53c | 79.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…c8edbacked Kraken | 47c | 69.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…6f62backed Kraken | 45c | 66.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…a4f7backed Lightning | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Lightning | 55c | 54.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 45c | 50.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Lightning | 55c | 50.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…abafbacked Kraken | 45c | 50.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…859dbacked Lightning | 53c | 45.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…81e9backed Kraken | 47c | 45.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…cf42backed Lightning | 53c | 45.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Kraken | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…df69backed Kraken | 45c | 43.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…4ff4backed Lightning | 53c | 42.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…e143backed Kraken | 47c | 42.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…0ac2backed Lightning | 53c | 42.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b4…43f7backed Kraken | 47c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…4443backed Lightning | 55c | 42.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…0f0ebacked Kraken | 45c | 42.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…6d11backed Kraken | 45c | 42.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Lightning | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd18…5183backed Kraken | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…dd9fbacked Kraken | 46c | 40.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…ce1bbacked Lightning | 54c | 40.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…15c5backed Kraken | 45c | 40.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Lightning | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…d9e9backed Kraken | 46c | 39.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…bfacbacked Kraken | 45c | 39.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…91ccbacked Kraken | 45c | 38.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…d47cbacked Lightning | 53c | 37.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…045dbacked Lightning | 53c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lightning | 54c | 36.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Lightning | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Lightning | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…3952backed Lightning | 55c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…3702backed Lightning | 53c | 35.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…8c71backed Kraken | 47c | 35.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…ea33backed Lightning | 53c | 35.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…a1d0backed Kraken | 47c | 35.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Kraken | 45c | 35.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…d0e4backed Lightning | 55c | 35.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…c582backed Lightning | 53c | 35.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…270ebacked Lightning | 55c | 35.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8e…1488backed Kraken | 45c | 35.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…33cbbacked Lightning | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…37bcbacked Lightning | 54c | 34.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…127cbacked Kraken | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…4d6bbacked Lightning | 55c | 33.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…1730backed Kraken | 45c | 33.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…26b0backed Kraken | 44c | 32.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…330fbacked Lightning | 55c | 32.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…dffdbacked Lightning | 55c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…d063backed Kraken | 46c | 32.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…246ebacked Lightning | 53c | 31.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…9d82backed Kraken | 47c | 31.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…c4d5backed Lightning | 54c | 30.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 55c | 30.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…5fe0backed Lightning | 55c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…4abdbacked Kraken | 45c | 30.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…f253backed Lightning | 54c | 30.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…9114backed Kraken | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…e331backed Lightning | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b45…3478backed Lightning | 55c | 29.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964a…8ddabacked Lightning | 53c | 29.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…cf90backed Lightning | 55c | 28.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c8…fa2abacked Lightning | 55c | 28.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…6befbacked Kraken | 47c | 28.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…a1d1backed Lightning | 55c | 28.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.