South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e568fc716ca989e50b71786f38aee299f6b063d967bd485a1f5d6862b5d4c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 9c | 4,076$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 66c | 2,995$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 2,772$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 960.37$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 36c | 625.84$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 37c | 522.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 36c | 480.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 450.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 430.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 28c | 370.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 66c | 350.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed No | 33c | 289.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 273.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 269.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 219.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 64c | 102.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 41c | 96.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 34c | 61.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 60.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 58.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 57.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 34c | 50.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 32c | 50.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 66c | 49.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 47.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 34c | 41.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 72c | 35.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 32.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 72c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Yes | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.