CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5bae0847b6d823a4869da0b6efab357be6ef240e4cd060b4bb61feb1b5ccf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof aimclub, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 1,080$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.79 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked aimclub | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked aimclub | 72c | 432.61$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked aimclub | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 187.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 166.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked aimclub | 46c | 128.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…9bcebacked aimclub | 73c | 102.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed aimclub | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…62dfbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 84.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed aimclub | 48c | 79.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed aimclub | 48c | 52.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed aimclub | 43c | 39.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked aimclub | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 30.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed aimclub | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 PlayoffsSpirit Academy won
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.