Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eee8a2a55aeec004b1190745a047c0074fea75dfb840bcc50ae3506005a3545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LiXO eSportsof LiXO eSports, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed LiXO eSports | 40c | 544.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.98 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 358.56$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed LiXO eSports | 26c | 202.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked LiXO eSports | 62c | 199.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Lynx | 52c | 152.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LiXO eSports | 40c | 126.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Lynx | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 73c | 115.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed LiXO eSports | 44c | 113.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 97.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed LiXO eSports | 47c | 84.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed LiXO eSports | 21c | 52.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…b550backed LiXO eSports | 72c | 51.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…9816backed LiXO eSports | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Lynx | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Team Lynx | 36c | 47.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Team Lynx | 61c | 30.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Team Lynx | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Team Lynx | 65c | 23.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…cc67backed Team Lynx | 78c | 19.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Team Lynx | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…af9fbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.