Lol · resolved market
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs eSuba (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efc03239c72bd839b01a591edd0dead7b466eb3d33d618952f0837193e82f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed eSuba | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 42c | 668.83$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.37 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed eSuba | 40c | 425$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 33c | 420$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked eSuba | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 60c | 224.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked eSuba | 67c | 209.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked eSuba | 63c | 51.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked eSuba | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed eSuba | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.