Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f51e7c7d0889d3cd9d0795d601672edab5d0c549d243847692a0a82b6ea8a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 10,094$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.93 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 5,234$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.5 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 2,446$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.84 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 1,672$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 1,368$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 45c | 289.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Maryland Terrapins | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 105.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 104.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 99.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 45.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Maryland Terrapins | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)this page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Maryland TerrapinsOhio State Buckeyes won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.