TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH)of Miami (OH), Buffalo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Buffalo4c872$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5429012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Miami (OH)60c666$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4120548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa9…ccf1backed Buffalo22c279$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9d55backed Buffalo22c251$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+153.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8927…5497backed Buffalo22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…6b29backed Buffalo22c212$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ec…1613backed Buffalo22c198$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…d146backed Miami (OH)78c195$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+117.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd087…3c3ebacked Buffalo22c158$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Miami (OH)77c131.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3553057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef7…1fd4backed Miami (OH)78c124$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Buffalo19c109$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Miami (OH)78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb0…58a9backed Buffalo22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6333…e34bbacked Miami (OH)78c94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7338…2d40backed Miami (OH)78c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6099…a658backed Miami (OH)78c84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc9…c2a2backed Buffalo22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc37…0f02backed Buffalo22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fab…5b75backed Buffalo22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…b8e3backed Miami (OH)78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…9907backed Miami (OH)78c77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x457c…ecfdbacked Buffalo22c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f3…d2ecbacked Buffalo22c73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5f…0de9backed Buffalo22c71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2603…15c4backed Miami (OH)78c69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff05…ed65backed Buffalo21c69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…6f91backed Buffalo22c68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…2f93backed Buffalo21c68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Buffalo19c66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6134842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…ecd4backed Buffalo22c66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc7…f72ebacked Miami (OH)78c66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a29…7704backed Buffalo22c64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…cfddbacked Buffalo20c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x428e…7c29backed Buffalo22c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…8146backed Buffalo22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3d…47cfbacked Buffalo22c59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…d0ddbacked Miami (OH)78c58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb6…5f6abacked Buffalo22c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc622…bedebacked Buffalo22c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…c124backed Miami (OH)78c57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa007…ec83backed Buffalo22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6043…b1e1backed Miami (OH)78c54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a6…8ca7backed Miami (OH)78c52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x138e…e1d3backed Buffalo22c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fe…9ebdbacked Miami (OH)78c37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2395…c324backed Miami (OH)78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba4…8cb4backed Miami (OH)78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.04366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7968…3b50backed Miami (OH)78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…6b66backed Miami (OH)78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eec…08fcbacked Miami (OH)78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9de…cd17backed Miami (OH)78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f2…e1b1backed Miami (OH)78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…16c3backed Miami (OH)78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91d4…2aa7backed Miami (OH)78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeede…18c7backed Miami (OH)78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…b050backed Miami (OH)78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54f…24d4backed Miami (OH)78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e17…bab3backed Miami (OH)78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c9…e591backed Miami (OH)78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b64…a782backed Miami (OH)78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f1…4373backed Miami (OH)78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c8…e724backed Miami (OH)78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa0…6b80backed Miami (OH)78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9067…e242backed Miami (OH)78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb824…1ce6backed Miami (OH)78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f7…34a3backed Miami (OH)78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc538…34a0backed Miami (OH)78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea4…d81bbacked Miami (OH)79c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+155.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c2…b042backed Miami (OH)78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…7393backed Miami (OH)78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681c…8e6dbacked Miami (OH)78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2708…6cecbacked Miami (OH)78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…8bb9backed Miami (OH)78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d1…5ae7backed Miami (OH)78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a9…8257backed Miami (OH)78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0508…0659backed Miami (OH)78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ed…1f28backed Miami (OH)78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…2b47backed Miami (OH)78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8a…24a4backed Miami (OH)78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa8…1f1dbacked Miami (OH)78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a1…16d2backed Miami (OH)79c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1367…0085backed Miami (OH)78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f15…63c9backed Miami (OH)78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa245…d0e3backed Miami (OH)78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46eb…abd7backed Miami (OH)79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40a…6086backed Miami (OH)78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31a…de2abacked Miami (OH)79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…9fc6backed Miami (OH)78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af4…e813backed Miami (OH)79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…4d24backed Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.18366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…6e2dbacked Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2a…89eebacked Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b4…ccbdbacked Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…68a8backed Miami (OH)79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aca…4322backed Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a9…37c1backed Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b7…6f2fbacked Miami (OH)79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbb…93dbbacked Miami (OH)78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3c…2e34backed Miami (OH)79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.