CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa6e6916fc0293eef4b0e9eba017e836ff602f2f13aba35701edf69863dd433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof UNiTY esports, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNiTY esports | 42c | 1,321$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Bebop | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked UNiTY esports | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Bebop | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Bebop | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 60c | 205.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Bebop | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bebop | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Bebop | 57c | 187.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports | 41c | 185.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Bebop | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 41c | 70.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 47c | 67.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Bebop | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Bebop | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bebop | 39c | 46.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed UNiTY esports | 38c | 38.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked UNiTY esports | 60c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked UNiTY esports | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Bebop | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed UNiTY esports | 79c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed Bebop | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.