Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota vs. Oral Roberts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fccfa6511340e49a59484fba8f36b0217230b4098023f4c8c7d04e545f11606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Dakotaof South Dakota, Oral Roberts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2132…b38abacked Oral Roberts | 24c | 527$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ec2dbacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…229ebacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 270$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…ec30backed South Dakota | 76c | 247$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…6bc8backed South Dakota | 79c | 235$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…6bc3backed South Dakota | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…ceecbacked South Dakota | 76c | 139$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b9dbbacked South Dakota | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…b91fbacked South Dakota | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…0c84backed Oral Roberts | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…137bbacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…c101backed Oral Roberts | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…9a0cbacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Oral Roberts | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7890…89afbacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…652ebacked Oral Roberts | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked South Dakota | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…2b37backed South Dakota | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…bc1cbacked Oral Roberts | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…2de1backed Oral Roberts | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc072…fe79backed South Dakota | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…1bc4backed South Dakota | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…3746backed South Dakota | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…8817backed South Dakota | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e340backed South Dakota | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…7fffbacked South Dakota | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…5c28backed South Dakota | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee08…8657backed South Dakota | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff46…9d63backed South Dakota | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b1…0c1ebacked South Dakota | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…a59dbacked South Dakota | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…1028backed South Dakota | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d25…3ff5backed South Dakota | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…c8a7backed South Dakota | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…75bcbacked South Dakota | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…489ebacked South Dakota | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…c143backed South Dakota | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…8ebdbacked South Dakota | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…0747backed South Dakota | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…c477backed South Dakota | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f45backed South Dakota | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…83a4backed South Dakota | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cf…4d32backed South Dakota | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…368cbacked South Dakota | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…c4fcbacked South Dakota | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…283fbacked South Dakota | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…2761backed South Dakota | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…16f4backed South Dakota | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…dc19backed South Dakota | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…0d1bbacked South Dakota | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…ad36backed South Dakota | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a23…2d43backed South Dakota | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…8924backed South Dakota | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.