CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x901f43ba0fcc590ce108eb168c0f81f480c6dd80ac23ae5b2d9921e8d147c079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Heroic, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 30,260$12,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,716 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Heroic | 58c | 14,908$8,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,646.58 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heroic | 59c | 13,564$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.76 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 4,457$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.85 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Heroic | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Heroic | 56c | 2,925$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.13 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Heroic | 60c | 2,084$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.4 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 1,262$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 946.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.48 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic | 62c | 869.53$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 289.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 49c | 284.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Heroic | 42c | 232.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Heroic | 50c | 184.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 59.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Heroic | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.