Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs Melilla Titans - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904f268cc67176f605767cbbd4ce3c7cc0ac29678929376f2b14c3d46f02d50f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KPI Gamingof KPI Gaming, Melilla Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed KPI Gaming | 50c | 2,304$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.49 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Melilla Titans | 54c | 1,929$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.74 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melilla Titans | 72c | 432.59$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KPI Gaming | 30c | 403.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed KPI Gaming | 41c | 364.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KPI Gaming | 35c | 215.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Melilla Titans | 72c | 140.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed KPI Gaming | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Melilla Titans | 54c | 85.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed KPI Gaming | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KPI Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KPI Gaming | 51c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KPI Gaming | 56c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Melilla Titans | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Melilla Titans | 68c | 19.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs Melilla Titans - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs Melilla Titans (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 PlayoffsKPI Gaming won
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs Melilla Titans - Map 1 WinnerKPI Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.