Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9056c56cdc5125ca93e6bb5072f4e4571ddfa122cbada093626bf6691587f5c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 44c | 21,962$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,254.73 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 1,493$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa585…a793backed No | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…fb2dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 901$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 395.22$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 54c | 214.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 47c | 64.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 68c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.