Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9077d0a13560d7d94f7da6bebb7b3ebdfd5eafe2429fd78607c951b806d8fbd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delhi Capitalsof Delhi Capitals, Gujarat Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Delhi Capitals | 47c | 778.42$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.56 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Gujarat Titans | 53c | 550.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.53 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…c666backed Gujarat Titans | 53c | 222.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…a68ebacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 194.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 155.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…2f20backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…6303backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 93.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Delhi Capitals | 48c | 65.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…24b7backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 56.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Gujarat Titans | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f0a5backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…bca2backed Delhi Capitals | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…57c7backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 38.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fff…4f48backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…954bbacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 28.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans won
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.