Tennis · resolved market
Talia Gibson vs. Clara Tauson: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x914081297a45048630d0dcb69bd51204eb7089ca1f61004e7081dea02b0f53b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,039 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over 2.5 | 36c | 4,166$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.44 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under 2.5 | 64c | 2,322$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da7…17aabacked Under 2.5 | 64c | 1,251$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over 2.5 | 35c | 740.34$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.48 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 717.23$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 703.07$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 296.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over 2.5 | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Over 2.5 | 77c | 125.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 96.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 27c | 86.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.5 | 26c | 85.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over 2.5 | 65c | 77.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over 2.5 | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 39.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over 2.5 | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…73eebacked Over 2.5 | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 16.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Talia Gibson vs. Clara Tauson: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Clara TausonTalia Gibson won
- Gibson vs. Tauson: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs TausonGibson won
- Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)Gibson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.