Lol · resolved market
LoL: BeFive vs Crvena zvezda Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91576a24d2a3c382406831e3525a6dc63c183272bc32089432d4c3ade116da3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BeFiveof BeFive, Crvena zvezda Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed BeFive | 77c | 4,016$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.68 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…e46ebacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 586.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 22c | 479.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 404.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 379.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 194.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 182.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 177.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BeFive | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 68.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed BeFive | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.