Lol · resolved market
LoL: HOWL Esports vs Team Paradox (BO2)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91582cbb790caed6e0e874f06cc8d475ac71dab033fc194f784791a383e57c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOWL Esportsof HOWL Esports, Team Paradox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe779…335ebacked HOWL Esports | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…3d76backed HOWL Esports | 8c | 668$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 8cpaid | +792.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed HOWL Esports | 56c | 123$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HOWL Esports | 58c | 112.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked HOWL Esports | 52c | 109$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed HOWL Esports | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…c131backed Team Paradox | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed HOWL Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed HOWL Esports | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed HOWL Esports | 56c | 43.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Paradox | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Team Paradox | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Team Paradox | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Team Paradox | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Team Paradox | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Team Paradox | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed HOWL Esports | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.