Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gran Canaria: Polona Hercog vs Laura Pigossi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9175afa0d0fb11dc4949f27fc4cd85192c508f596348739d0331ae501df4a384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Pigossiof Polona Hercog, Laura Pigossi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Polona Hercog | 23c | 4,774$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Laura Pigossi | 77c | 2,529$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Laura Pigossi | 77c | 2,436$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Polona Hercog | 31c | 2,056$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Laura Pigossi | 61c | 1,143$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.58 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Polona Hercog | 25c | 391.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 362$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Polona Hercog | 25c | 279.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 249.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 128.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Laura Pigossi | 77c | 125.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Polona Hercog | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 101$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Polona Hercog | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Polona Hercog | 29c | 69.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 61.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Polona Hercog | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Laura Pigossi | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Laura Pigossi | 75c | 29.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Laura Pigossi | 64c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Laura Pigossi | 78c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Laura Pigossi | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Laura Pigossi | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.