La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9191ec17b8658e64de1c09ab91eb1a1e1b168d82591b76e9a1049392b6775306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 4,496$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.54 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 1,869$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,525$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 1,242$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.13 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 843.3$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 695.3$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 34c | 692.74$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.47 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 643.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.74 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 221.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Yes | 49c | 221$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 179.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 48c | 168.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 122.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 94.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Yes | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 79.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…9ac4backed Yes | 48c | 74.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 57.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Yes | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 48c | 50.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 52c | 48.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…8e2ebacked Yes | 69c | 48.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 47.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 40.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 79c | 21.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.