Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91baf6127619f0b2e5e787a14f17647ca2722764fbf35f8a12f4b716394a6115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Equipe Caosof 2GAME Esports, Equipe Caos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Equipe Caos | 34c | 1,138$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.58 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Equipe Caos | 35c | 869.26$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.26 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed 2GAME Esports | 65c | 605.78$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed 2GAME Esports | 65c | 454.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 2GAME Esports | 65c | 316.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…821fbacked 2GAME Esports | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed 2GAME Esports | 66c | 263.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Equipe Caos | 34c | 262.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Equipe Caos | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked 2GAME Esports | 66c | 119.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Equipe Caos | 33c | 91.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed 2GAME Esports | 68c | 73.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…facabacked 2GAME Esports | 66c | 65.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked 2GAME Esports | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Equipe Caos | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked 2GAME Esports | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed 2GAME Esports | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 2GAME Esports | 71c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 2GAME Esports | 65c | 47.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…deadbacked 2GAME Esports | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…817cbacked 2GAME Esports | 68c | 33.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked 2GAME Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed 2GAME Esports | 71c | 28.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed 2GAME Esports | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed 2GAME Esports | 67c | 17.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Athis page
- Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs Equipe Caos (+1.5)Equipe Caos won
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Equipe Caos - Map 1 WinnerEquipe Caos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.