Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91bc5b9e0d95e04c9a2b1eddfaf4d2e1cf97df7c28720f1216cd3564f7062631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Starsof Fluxo W7M, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 79c | 785$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Fluxo W7M | 20c | 570$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 67c | 373.97$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 403 | 37.7%152 W · 251 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 70c | 320.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 229$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked Fluxo W7M | 29c | 191.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 41.7%106 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 388 | 45.4%176 W · 212 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Fluxo W7M | 27c | 118.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 83.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 78c | 60.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 60.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 72c | 47.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 72c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 70c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.