Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona vs. Niagara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9284da25dccf4445f108b0561a5576b9b2dbe70998fe32a9ef8833264c339e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ionaof Iona, Niagara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dad…102bbacked Niagara | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…1c08backed Iona | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…53d2backed Niagara | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…9d60backed Iona | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…f340backed Iona | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e64fbacked Niagara | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…4182backed Iona | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…4dedbacked Niagara | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…8dd1backed Iona | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…0ea8backed Niagara | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…5293backed Iona | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…8317backed Iona | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…21bfbacked Niagara | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…8cbabacked Niagara | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…a01ebacked Iona | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…f914backed Niagara | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…0884backed Iona | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…4abfbacked Niagara | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…470cbacked Iona | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…9d81backed Iona | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…f093backed Niagara | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…9b43backed Niagara | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…eaa7backed Iona | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…7d98backed Niagara | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…47eabacked Niagara | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…1fecbacked Iona | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…34c4backed Niagara | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…6af7backed Iona | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa723…4e54backed Niagara | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.