CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c74a3d84185d7b1a417f94f02c00fd610ea8e1789b96a1b95db7171b3e2f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BC.Game Esports, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed BC.Game Esports | 45c | 1,142$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.92 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 715.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.82 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 309$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 162.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed BC.Game Esports | 67c | 132$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 123.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BC.Game Esports | 73c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 55.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed BASEMENT BOYS | 30c | 43.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked BC.Game Esports | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…2d86backed BC.Game Esports | 67c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BC.Game Esports | 42c | 29.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed BC.Game Esports | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed BC.Game Esports | 61c | 18.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6BC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.