Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northeastern vs. Monmouth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92eee6a34e6902d75eaa3e00b7404199c14c611fa3ba71c8f508c2cb60a6f193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouthof Northeastern, Monmouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northeastern | 39c | 979.25$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.91 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…0aefbacked Monmouth | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…0817backed Northeastern | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…d2eabacked Monmouth | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2649…ec94backed Northeastern | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…26a4backed Monmouth | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +250%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…3dbcbacked Northeastern | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…0282backed Northeastern | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…4727backed Northeastern | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…5e79backed Monmouth | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…5f78backed Monmouth | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…4150backed Monmouth | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…a0c8backed Northeastern | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…809abacked Monmouth | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…bb07backed Northeastern | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…9f4abacked Northeastern | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…7197backed Northeastern | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.