Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Illinois advance to the Sweet Sixteen?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930269c4a0e10092dfb4705b8fb3509e4bba598abf2a3440346d69957e8f879f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,088 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 1 wallet that holds a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Illinois advance to the Sweet Sixteen?this page
- Will Akron advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Alabama advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will BYU advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Cal Baptist advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Clemson advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Duke advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Florida advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Georgia advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Gonzaga advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Houston advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Iowa advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Kansas advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Kentucky advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Louisville advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will McNeese advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Miami (FL) advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Miami (Ohio) advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Michigan State advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Michigan advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Missouri advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Nebraska advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will North Carolina advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will North Dakota State advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Northern Iowa advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Ohio State advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Purdue advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Saint Louis advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Santa Clara advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will St. John’s advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Tennessee State advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Tennessee advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Texas A&M advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Texas Tech advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Texas advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Troy advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will UCF advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will UCLA advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will UConn advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Yes won
- Will Utah State advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will VCU advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Vanderbilt advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Villanova advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Virginia advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Wisconsin advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
- Will Yale advance to the Sweet Sixteen?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.