Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9326a51057d9645b6a0ac3291ceb778e795f5b93723ea78f0e35a93efd63d2df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Oklahoma, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oklahoma | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ole Miss | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed Oklahoma | 24c | 758$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…0f06backed Ole Miss | 76c | 523$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3610…d3d9backed Oklahoma | 24c | 176$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…3e4ebacked Ole Miss | 76c | 119$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…c4e9backed Ole Miss | 76c | 116$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…a5dabacked Ole Miss | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…7544backed Oklahoma | 23c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…0606backed Oklahoma | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…e1d4backed Ole Miss | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…d885backed Ole Miss | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…4373backed Ole Miss | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…b6d4backed Ole Miss | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…4c8fbacked Ole Miss | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…13a1backed Ole Miss | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…5f67backed Ole Miss | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.