TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Massachusetts vs. St. Bonaventure

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Bonaventureof Massachusetts, St. Bonaventure
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed St. Bonaventure51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14720548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8086…a714backed Massachusetts47c295$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4264…7256backed St. Bonaventure53c282$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabea…7989backed Massachusetts27c212$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked St. Bonaventure73c171$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.871,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3022…89d7backed St. Bonaventure73c142$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc928…7377backed Massachusetts22c127$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…20b4backed St. Bonaventure53c126$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f33…78cabacked Massachusetts47c113$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…e077backed St. Bonaventure73c96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a8…c183backed Massachusetts27c96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd7…aabfbacked St. Bonaventure78c83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f9…4b3cbacked Massachusetts23c79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e1…2df9backed Massachusetts25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ba…effabacked Massachusetts26c76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ad…5ef6backed Massachusetts26c73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x869d…350cbacked Massachusetts26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4b…b01abacked Massachusetts25c67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57b…043fbacked Massachusetts25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b3…a4ccbacked Massachusetts25c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb72…ed4bbacked Massachusetts23c57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…a4b2backed Massachusetts25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…21bfbacked Massachusetts27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bdc…0e89backed Massachusetts25c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb233…8b22backed Massachusetts25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…2018backed St. Bonaventure51c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab8…596cbacked Massachusetts49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1837…678cbacked Massachusetts25c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a0…e751backed Massachusetts27c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776a…55f4backed Massachusetts26c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd40…5787backed Massachusetts27c47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…a756backed St. Bonaventure74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4766…560bbacked Massachusetts22c46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…ab67backed Massachusetts48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ab…bd63backed St. Bonaventure78c44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bf…33e3backed St. Bonaventure74c43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x028f…0c90backed St. Bonaventure78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9457…3ac1backed Massachusetts26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Massachusetts25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd02…d10cbacked St. Bonaventure52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ac…ea3ebacked St. Bonaventure56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4195…a072backed Massachusetts48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96dc…e7d1backed St. Bonaventure74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb13…f389backed St. Bonaventure75c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32de…e0dcbacked St. Bonaventure52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa92b…c356backed St. Bonaventure74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+128.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7472…650abacked Massachusetts44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0d…cdfbbacked Massachusetts44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc531…7a06backed St. Bonaventure74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc2…b33bbacked St. Bonaventure73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0d…b1e7backed Massachusetts44c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92db…5a36backed St. Bonaventure77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f1…3712backed St. Bonaventure74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4045…977dbacked St. Bonaventure73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb06…f413backed St. Bonaventure78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…0dadbacked St. Bonaventure74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe956…a239backed Massachusetts48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ac…4ba9backed Massachusetts48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd36e…4f25backed Massachusetts48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197d…f7e5backed St. Bonaventure74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…3d9bbacked St. Bonaventure52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x655d…688ebacked St. Bonaventure75c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a72…3427backed St. Bonaventure73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c17…6f09backed St. Bonaventure52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a6…bd10backed St. Bonaventure56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa615…faacbacked St. Bonaventure52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…34d7backed Massachusetts48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…955cbacked St. Bonaventure52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5656…4e10backed St. Bonaventure75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x430f…03d4backed St. Bonaventure56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be9…21bcbacked St. Bonaventure52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a1…24cabacked St. Bonaventure75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344f…4837backed St. Bonaventure56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8b…b6a8backed St. Bonaventure75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c1…d791backed St. Bonaventure74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a25…0deebacked Massachusetts48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b6c…3f80backed St. Bonaventure75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d4…dc6abacked St. Bonaventure75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked St. Bonaventure75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2553057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b57…d63bbacked St. Bonaventure75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…b148backed St. Bonaventure77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d3…423dbacked St. Bonaventure75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd0…8655backed St. Bonaventure73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfb…e4aabacked St. Bonaventure74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…8ec9backed St. Bonaventure75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…6d5cbacked St. Bonaventure74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2585…82febacked St. Bonaventure75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3767…7be1backed St. Bonaventure75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…6855backed St. Bonaventure74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e28…e44abacked St. Bonaventure75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e94…4ed6backed St. Bonaventure75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+55.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda05…d152backed St. Bonaventure73c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…51e2backed St. Bonaventure75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x862f…d791backed St. Bonaventure75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb7…a768backed St. Bonaventure74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b7…0932backed St. Bonaventure72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd728…c413backed St. Bonaventure77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc4…ce01backed St. Bonaventure75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e60…b942backed St. Bonaventure78c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x744c…b439backed St. Bonaventure75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.