Lol · resolved market
LoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phase
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939ad519445a5a0cc30224453ad7e702bcdd718369054c1325c047afb19f9361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FN Esportsof FN Esports, 3BL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3BL Esports | 0c | 3,719$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…ad74backed 3BL Esports | 16c | 1,123$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…f94fbacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 857$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed 3BL Esports | 30c | 846.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 284 | 38%108 W · 176 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed 3BL Esports | 16c | 845$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…ea6abacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 763$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…c0dfbacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 685$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed 3BL Esports | 17c | 501$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 3BL Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked FN Esports | 78c | 318.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed FN Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed FN Esports | 80c | 240.68$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 3BL Esports | 18c | 139.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 113.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked FN Esports | 76c | 112$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FN Esports | 50c | 101.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f94ebacked 3BL Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked FN Esports | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed 3BL Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked 3BL Esports | 21c | 79.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a35…d15cbacked 3BL Esports | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked 3BL Esports | 22c | 67.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phasethis page
- Game Handicap: FN (-1.5) vs 3BL Esports (+1.5)FN Esports won
- LoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 WinnerFN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.