CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a009ff8b77f9c9db95bdeb9215e3e93517a258ad41570f11d38d1f3930eadc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Endless Journeyof SHISHKA, Endless Journey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Endless Journey | 69c | 2,719$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.42 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SHISHKA | 34c | 1,009$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed SHISHKA | 30c | 362.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed SHISHKA | 51c | 327$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Endless Journey | 71c | 264.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Endless Journey | 68c | 250$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed SHISHKA | 27c | 232$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 357 | 48.2%172 W · 185 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed SHISHKA | 28c | 222.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Endless Journey | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked SHISHKA | 33c | 178.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed SHISHKA | 27c | 173.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 441 | 44.2%195 W · 246 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…6ef5backed SHISHKA | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed SHISHKA | 30c | 150.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SHISHKA | 34c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed SHISHKA | 33c | 116.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked SHISHKA | 29c | 83.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SHISHKA | 28c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Endless Journey | 33c | 73.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed SHISHKA | 33c | 65.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed SHISHKA | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Endless Journey | 71c | 61.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed SHISHKA | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed SHISHKA | 29c | 56.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Endless Journey | 71c | 52.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Endless Journey | 72c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 PlayoffsSHISHKA won
- Map Handicap: SHISHKA (-1.5) vs Endless Journey (+1.5)Endless Journey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.