Cricket · resolved market
National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs ACT Meteors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93df77f9fd9b37b4e214414f92f58706b2d868aa457e28166343339ee2bca878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Australiaof Western Australia, ACT Meteors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,199 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed ACT Meteors | 5c | 6,035$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.23 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed ACT Meteors | 8c | 1,062$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed ACT Meteors | 9c | 804.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ACT Meteors | 35c | 734.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…cf23backed ACT Meteors | 9c | 653$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Western Australia | 71c | 502.94$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed ACT Meteors | 20c | 362.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ACT Meteors | 4c | 324.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Western Australia | 65c | 265.82$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed ACT Meteors | 6c | 248.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked ACT Meteors | 20c | 245.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Western Australia | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ACT Meteors | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Western Australia | 65c | 133.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Western Australia | 69c | 131.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Western Australia | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Western Australia | 62c | 95.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed ACT Meteors | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Western Australia | 65c | 38.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Western Australia | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Western Australia | 64c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.