Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio vs. Kent State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f9cfc806e7554b477c950a54fa9c091b2d5ee53800d58b14d11e39b2e25d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent Stateof Ohio, Kent State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Ohio | 37c | 5,627$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kent State | 56c | 4,740$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.35 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kent State | 63c | 3,695$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.8 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kent State | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kent State | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kent State | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32f…3916backed Kent State | 68c | 151$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…3652backed Ohio | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…b671backed Ohio | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…05cbbacked Ohio | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3b02backed Kent State | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…1c13backed Kent State | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…b08fbacked Ohio | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7e…4858backed Kent State | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…5509backed Kent State | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Kent State | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kent State | 68c | 36.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…dae6backed Kent State | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kent State | 65c | 25.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee9fbacked Kent State | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…0710backed Kent State | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.