Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946b70b3678819937adef2386e80e86afd84d63d9ada3cb1b9da6e56941bfbf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morehead State Eaglesof Morehead State Eagles, Western Illinois Leathernecks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 26c | 500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Morehead State Eagles | 74c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Morehead State Eagles | 77c | 399.87$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 12c | 379.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Morehead State Eagles | 75c | 158.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 16c | 152.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 141.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 23c | 134.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Morehead State Eagles | 75c | 64.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Morehead State Eagles | 58c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Morehead State Eagles | 74c | 37.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksthis page
- Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 144.5Under won
- Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.