Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947b04b7ef88666644b72b46190827f380332da7847861d979f6d499040c807e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 51c | 3,353$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 47c | 2,188$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 53c | 1,839$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 936.71$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 53c | 630.68$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 53c | 571.43$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.91 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 454.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Over | 11c | 123.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…2403backed Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…d1cabacked Under | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Over | 51c | 28.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…14debacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.