Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis vs. UTSA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949568d708ff9f7ac97724190766a6609dee2a431d13a8dd01fd2931905e5981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, UTSA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UTSA | 17c | 356.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…6facbacked UTSA | 11c | 312$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…976dbacked UTSA | 11c | 215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…eb9bbacked UTSA | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…e92abacked Memphis | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Memphis | 74c | 133.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dad…0668backed Memphis | 80c | 120.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6736…e04cbacked UTSA | 11c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…de6fbacked UTSA | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Memphis | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Memphis | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…0de3backed Memphis | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…5069backed UTSA | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…36e9backed UTSA | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…8e28backed UTSA | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…4627backed Memphis | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…d410backed UTSA | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f10…6a3abacked UTSA | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…ba02backed UTSA | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked UTSA | 19c | 65.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…8046backed UTSA | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…78dbbacked UTSA | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…a994backed UTSA | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e9…1241backed UTSA | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…b1dbbacked UTSA | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…2fe9backed UTSA | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…19ffbacked UTSA | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ead7backed UTSA | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1328…e46ebacked UTSA | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…5078backed Memphis | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…6368backed Memphis | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…43aabacked Memphis | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…0f12backed Memphis | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…a12bbacked Memphis | 76c | 34.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6c…3fa5backed Memphis | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1b…474bbacked Memphis | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…0813backed Memphis | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…4ca3backed Memphis | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0df…a552backed Memphis | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…5260backed Memphis | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…e0d6backed Memphis | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…ad43backed Memphis | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…631abacked Memphis | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…b327backed Memphis | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…3bbdbacked Memphis | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…1783backed Memphis | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…dd15backed Memphis | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…1f0fbacked Memphis | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…89c4backed Memphis | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…1a97backed Memphis | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…c281backed Memphis | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e6…fdc9backed Memphis | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…d6a8backed Memphis | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…5992backed Memphis | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…c48cbacked Memphis | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…7a9bbacked Memphis | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a2…3c7fbacked Memphis | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3134backed Memphis | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…0972backed Memphis | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…6564backed Memphis | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…bc28backed Memphis | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…bb54backed Memphis | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…d8d2backed Memphis | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…0c63backed Memphis | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…1380backed Memphis | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…70efbacked Memphis | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf684…41b6backed Memphis | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…e022backed Memphis | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…3ea6backed Memphis | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…fea3backed Memphis | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.