Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist vs. Siena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94aca29a57ee18d37a87ba77a798b1c25dcaa53010cd5a529e69cbb90a8c0928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maristof Marist, Siena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Marist | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Siena | 57c | 650.07$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Siena | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Marist | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Siena | 56c | 238.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Siena | 56c | 229.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Marist | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…cfe9backed Siena | 43c | 145$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Marist | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Marist | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2478backed Marist | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…fe17backed Siena | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…d800backed Siena | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…5432backed Siena | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…92a2backed Marist | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…e82bbacked Siena | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…008bbacked Marist | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.