CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs HAVU (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94bbd54320dc715c7471d61b54f94d40744e9a309e1d820e8fb7a0d871e7e58c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Metizport, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Metizport | 54c | 3,493$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed HAVU | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Metizport | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed HAVU | 39c | 1,292$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.14 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed HAVU | 47c | 1,183$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.04 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Metizport | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked HAVU | 56c | 839$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Metizport | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed HAVU | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HAVU | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…2498backed Metizport | 66c | 41.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.