NHL · resolved market
SHL: Luleaa vs. Oerebro HK
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94befc0269ac831130e7f1aed06dd5f97fa7643aad44b14a400056625ec9e176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Luleaa, Oerebro HK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Luleaa | 72c | 857.74$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Oerebro HK | 28c | 719$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.32 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Oerebro HK | 30c | 213$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Oerebro HK | 30c | 154$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Oerebro HK | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Luleaa | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Oerebro HK | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Oerebro HK | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Oerebro HK | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oerebro HK | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Luleaa | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Oerebro HK | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Luleaa | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Luleaa | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Luleaa | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Luleaa | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Luleaa | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Luleaa | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Luleaa | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Luleaa | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Luleaa | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Luleaa | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Luleaa | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Luleaa | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Luleaa | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Luleaa | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Luleaa | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Luleaa | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Luleaa | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Luleaa | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Luleaa | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.