Olympics · resolved market
Will Jasmine Camacho-Quinn (PUR) win gold in the Women’s 100m Hurdles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ed991bd581c4a2ea83780087e914ae8204ebb97b1392af95e336cdb543f456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8297…1708backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…552fbacked No | 54c | 402.89$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…58e8backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…8fc2backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…2dc9backed Yes | 49c | 184.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Yes | 55c | 165.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…c1d4backed Yes | 48c | 104.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 36c | 95.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 46c | 88.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 44c | 64.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 56c | 64.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 48c | 64.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked No | 39c | 36.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…1605backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…50b9backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Yes | 51c | 23.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…7723backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Camacho-Quinn (PUR) win gold in the Women’s 100m Hurdles?this page
- Will Masai Russell (USA) win gold in the Women’s 100m Hurdles?Yes won
- Will Nadine Visser (NED) win gold in the Women’s 100m Hurdles?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.